NEWSLETTER

February 7, 2017

So What's In Secret Iran Deal?

On Jan. 30, 2017, Iran tested a new ballistic missile, seemingly the long-range Khorramshahr. In response, the White House announced sanctions against 25 Iranian individuals and companies (see below).

"It's a small reaction to an extraordinary provocation that rips away the curtain obscuring America's foreign-policy decisions, past and present," writes F.H. Buckley. Yes, especially since it’s not the first extraordinary provocation that Iran has carried out (see, for example, here, here, here and here).

Now the question is what's in the secret Iran deal negotiated by Obama et al? The Iranians are telling us that Obama secretly promised them they could build ballistic missiles capable of a 2,000-mile flight.

Why that number? Because the Iranians insisted they wanted to be able to strike every part of Israel, and the European members of the six-party Iran talks — Germany, France and Britain — were okay with that so long as Iran couldn't build longer-range missiles that would reach them.

Accordingly, the Iranian missile launched last month was a medium-range Shahab missile (postmarked Israel-only). Or so the Obama administration thought. Turns out the missile was a long-range one, with a range of 2,500 to 5,000 miles that could easily reach all of Europe. And as Buckley writes, "add a range of another 500 miles and that includes Boston."

So Obama sold out the Israelis and told the Iranians we don't care all that much about the Israelis, just leave us out of it. But just like that didn't work out for Neville Chamberlain and "far-away country," Czechoslovakia, it hasn’t worked out for Obama & co. A deal that was supposed to bring peace to the region, has instead handed a new American president “the equivalent of the Cuban missile crisis.” And perhaps herein lies the problem with American foreign policy.

American foreign policy can basically be summed up as an attempt every 4 (or 8) years to reinvent the wheel. Like most people, presidents rarely learn from history. Every new American president thinks he can solve difficult problems, regardless of facts and past experience. What makes it even more difficult for American presidents, in particular, is that many if not most have very limited knowledge and understanding of world affairs/history.

While the “Iran mess underscores the need for a revolution in American strategic thinking,” as Buckley writes, it also underscores the need to learn history.

New York Post  |  February 6, 2017

Hey, Team Trump: Tell America What's In The Iran Deal

By F.H. Buckley

Flynn
The defuser? National Security Advisor Michael Flynn last week put Iran "on notice" after it reportedly tested nuclear-capable ballistic missiles. Photo: Stephen Crowley/The New York Times

On Jan. 30, 2017, Iran tested a new ballistic missile, seemingly the long-range Khorramshahr. In response, the White House announced sanctions against 25 Iranian individuals and companies. It’s a small reaction to an extraordinary provocation that rips away the curtain obscuring America’s foreign-policy decisions, past and present.

The past first. Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) congratulated the White House on the sanctions, which was a little hypocritical since he was one of the people who caused the problem in the first place.

In negotiating the secret Iran deal, President Barack Obama took the position that it wasn’t a treaty and therefore didn’t require Senate ratification under the Constitution. Had it been a treaty, Obama would’ve needed two-thirds of the upper chamber’s votes — which he wouldn’t have gotten.

Instead, Corker flipped the procedure around with a motion to condemn the treaty, which would’ve required a two-thirds vote to override a presidential veto. That wasn’t going to happen, so Obama got his treaty.

But what was in the treaty? Ah, that was the great thing. No one knew. And now the Iranians are telling us that Obama secretly promised them they could build ballistic missiles capable of a 2,000-mile flight.

Why that number? Because the Iranians insisted they wanted to be able to strike every part of Israel, and the European members of the six-party Iran talks — Germany, France and Britain — didn’t mind so long as Iran couldn’t build longer-range missiles that could reach them. No skin off their noses if Israel were destroyed.

Now here’s where it gets interesting. The administration thought the Iranian missile launched last month was a medium-range Shahab missile (postmarked Israel-only). It seems to have taken that from a speech by Iranian Defense Minister Hossein Dehghan last September.

The problem is, that’s not what Dehghan said, according to the Middle East Media Research Institute. The Iranians have been phasing out the Shahab missile, and what he was referring to were long-range missiles such as the Khorramshahr, which he said would be operational by March 2017, along with similar long-range surface-to-surface missiles.

The new missiles have a range of 2,500 to 5,000 miles and could easily reach all of Europe. Add a range of another 500 miles and that includes Boston. At the same time that we gave Iran the green light for its nuclear program, we gave it the means to attack us.

Lest any doubt remain, we watered down a UN Security Council resolution that might have gotten in the way.

Resolution 1929 banned Iran from conducting any activity concerning missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads, but this was amended by Security Council Resolution 2231 which substituted: “Iran is called upon not to undertake any activity related to ballistic missiles designed to be capable of delivering nuclear weapons.”

In other words, we gave the Iranians the wiggle room to say that, even if their missiles are capable of delivering a nuclear warhead, that doesn’t matter because they weren’t designed with that in mind.

So who would be the recipient of the Iranians missiles? Israel, obviously. And also the United Kingdom and America. MEMRI reports that Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps theoretician Hassan Abbasi has announced that Iran has “a strategy drawn up for the destruction of Anglo-Saxon civilization and for the uprooting of the Americans and the English.”

We told the Iranians we don’t care all that much about the ­Israelis, just leave us out of it. Except that it didn’t quite work out that way for Obama and Corker, as it didn’t work out for Neville Chamberlain when he called Czechoslovakia a “far-away country.” The Iran deal was supposed to bring peace to the region, but instead it handed Trump the equivalent of the Cuban missile crisis.

US National Security Adviser Michael Flynn called the Iranian missile test a violation of the Security Council resolution. That’s an acknowledgment that the` new administration intends to be bound by Security Council resolutions, which is interesting in itself. But Flynn also needs to go public with the details of the Iran deal, including all the secret side agreements.

If we agreed to give Iran the means to attack Israel with a medium-range missile, we need to fess up. And if Iran has violated the agreement by testing longer-range missiles, our announced sanctions are a sadly inadequate response.

The Iran mess underscores the need for a revolution in American strategic thinking, one that recognizes the importance of an effort to recast our relationship with Russia and to rethink the purpose of the NATO alliance.

F.H. Buckley teaches at Scalia Law School. His most recent book is “The Way Back: Restoring the Promise of America.”

Original article here.


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